Is The 2023 General Election Going to Be Tough?
NEWS DIGEST – In a general view, we can all see that our local and national politics is becoming interesting as the year of the general election (2023) drives closer. The discourse among young and elderly elites is on how the election will take place, some people’s questions are “who will be our next president? who will defeat and who will be defeated? is the 2023 general election going to be tough?
No one knows the answer to those rhetorical questions but, each presidential supporters claim the aspirant they are supporting will emerge. Anyhow it will be cum 2023, it’s only one person that will win while others will rant as usual. Ideologically, what will make the coming election tough is that each party’s flag bearer has long-term political experience with records.
Each aspirant believes he is competent on his own; they all have several supporters online and offline, which makes it difficult for any of them to step down for one another or merge together. Whether it may be a tough election or not, Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has promised us a free and fair election.
Explanation On Experience/Record Of Presidential Party’s Contenders
You may believe or argue with me on this but, you should know that none of them is a hundred per cent saint. Let’s look into the four prominent parties’ flag bearers (APC, PDP, LP and NNPP). Starting from the least in my list, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, the flag bearer of the New Nigeria Political Party (NNPP), was a two-term governor of Kano state. He performed well in his eight years of administration, this owns him KWANKWASIYA MOVEMENT in the northwest.
Kwankwaso is the only aspirant from the northwest – one of the largest geo-political zones with seven states (Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina and Jigawa). His downfall may result from the fact that the outgoing president, Muhammad Buhari also hails from the northwest. Also, he was a former PDP member and he defected to NNPP because he knows he can not win the PDP primary election.
Moving to Peter Obi, Labour Party’s flag bearer, he had experience in governing a state (Anambra) in the southeast for eight years as well. He had numerous followers on social media like Twitter, which is giving him hope of winning. Also, he is the youngest and most vigorous among them, this can make us say he is the fittest but his party have a lower voice compared to other parties. Contrarily, the party doesn’t matter to the person upholding the party, Ademola Adeleke Jackson of PDP victory in the Osun 2022 Guber election is typical evidence to attest to it.
But, PO may lose the election since he is an Igbo man because the belief of myriad Nigerians particularly the northerners is that if Igbo emerge they will succeed in creating a Biafra nation, a division of Nigeria. While some people said they are disappointed in him to sponsor his family business with Anambra State’s money. Moreover, he was a presidential aspirant under PDF before he defected to LP in seventy-two hours (tantamount to three days) of the PDP primary election, some count his action as a betrayer because he was Atiku’s running mate in the 2021 election.
The next man on the line, Atiku Abubakar, the flag bearer of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), was vice president to Gen. Olusegun Obasanjo from 1999 to 2007, which is equivalent to eight years – two-term in office. This is the time he is undertaking this political struggle for the sake of power, his last attempt was in 2021 when lost to the incumbent president.
Atiku may win the election because he has perceived the tactics of the election and Nigerians are yearning for changing of power since APC has failed us in many aspects. Also, he chose one of the best PDP governors (Ifeanyi Okowa – Delta state governor) as his running mate. Many like his choice because it is Muslim- Christian Ticket.
Otherwise, Atiku may not emerge because he is a privatization man, which people assume if he heads the office he would sell Nigeria property to his-self, this can be attested by his assertion to sell NNPC in his 2021 manifestoes. Similarly, some people mumbled that they can’t vote for Atiku because he is a Fulani man like Buhari and it will seem like giving power to the same person to rule us incessantly. He may lose some of his votes to Peter Obi because he was his running mate in the 2021 election.
Last but not the least, Bola Ahmed Tinubu (BAT), the flag bearer of All Progressive Congress (APC), have a good record as a two-term governor in Lagos state from 1999 to 2007, some claimed that he made Lagos what is it today and this earned him more followers across the state. He is also known as Jagaban Borgu and Asiwaju of APC, he said he has been serving the party for a long time so, it is his turn (means EMI LOKAN in the Yoruba language).
Looking at how the APC primary election took place, where many aspirants stepped down for Tinubu claiming he is competent to hold the office of power. This can assure us that he has the upper hand in winning the forthcoming general election, he chose his running mate (Kazeem Shettima – former Bornu governor) from the northeast, this choice will earn him a portion of Atiku’s votes from the northeast.
To tell the fact, it may be difficult for Tinubu to triumph in the election because the Buhari administration has tarnished the APC image, but people may vote for him rather than his party as happened in the Osun state election where people voted for Adeleke, not PDP. But, some speculate that age is not by his side anymore, that is he is too old to head this country.
Furthermore, Tinubu may lose the election due to the Muslim-Muslim ticket he is using because the Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) are not in support of it and most of the voters in the southern part of Nigeria are Christian. Recently, despite the fact in Nigeria’s history of the past Muslim-Muslim and Christian-Christian ticket, northern Christians still frown at the APC ticket.
Abdulrasheed Akere is a young and enthusiastic journalist, he is a student of Usmanu Danfodiyo University Sokoto (UDUS), he can be reached via 09137207766, [email protected]
This opinion piece has been published on NEWS DIGEST with very minimal editing to preserve the original voice of the author.